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Fed Minutes to Reveal Tensions Over Tariffs, Rate Cuts

Marco Sorenson by Marco Sorenson
July 9, 2025
in Economics
Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, speaking at a press conference with flags in the background.

Federal Reserve officials displayed conflicting opinions about interest rate policies during their June meeting according to upcoming minutes while Trump administration tariffs created new uncertainty about inflation projections.

During the July 29-30 meeting Trump appointees Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman together with other policymakers expressed willingness to lower interest rates. Several members of the Federal Reserve maintained their cautious stance because of the strong job market and unclear inflation trends.

The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate between 4.25% and 4.50% throughout June. The Fed conducted its meeting before Trump declared his intention to impose major tariffs which included a 50% copper duty and new levies on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. The Fed faces challenges in achieving its dual mandate because employment numbers exceeded expectations and new trade policies introduced uncertainty about inflation control.

Some Fed officials dismissed the long-term inflationary effects of tariffs but others expressed concerns about price increases and delayed business investments. The latest forecasts show seven policymakers expect no interest rate reductions during 2025.

The upcoming minutes will show the extent of Federal Reserve internal disagreement about policy decisions while the central bank operates in an unstable trade environment and faces ongoing pressure from Trump to reduce interest rates.

Tags: FED
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